Model Predictions
| Model | Long Beach State Beach | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.9% | 97.1% | +19.4 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +3 (59-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brynna Pukis | 40 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +4.1 |
| Khylee Pepe | 39 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | +7.9 |
| JaQuoia Jones-Brown | 38 | 10-15 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 14 | +11.3 |
| Kennan Ka | 30 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | -0.3 |
| Rosie Akot | 24 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 5 | +9.6 |
| Morgan Mack | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +4.8 |
| Judit Oliva Fernandez | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Tairat Samuel - Afolabi | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.7 |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryann Bennett | 40 | 9-16 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | -9.4 |
| Nya Epps | 40 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | -7.9 |
| Megan Norris | 38 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | -4.0 |
| Avery Sussex | 32 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -9.4 |
| Tegan Young | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -13.6 |
| Victoria Baker | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +6.9 |
| Emmy Ersdala | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.5 |
* = starter