Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.2% | 94.8% | +16.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +11 (83-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryann Bennett | 38 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | +1.9 |
| Megan Norris | 37 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | +11.0 |
| Nya Epps | 35 | 9-19 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 12 | +8.7 |
| Avery Sussex | 34 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 8-8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | +3.1 |
| Tegan Young | 26 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -13.1 |
| Sophie Lentfer | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +8.1 |
| Victoria Baker | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -13.3 |
| Theoni Tsami | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.5 |
| Emmy Ersdala | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5.7 |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allie Turner | 36 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -2.2 |
| Lauren Whittaker | 30 | 8-9 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 16 | +6.1 |
| Taylor Smith | 27 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | -3.6 |
| Ines Bettencourt | 27 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +12.8 |
| Teryn Gardner | 20 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Zeryhia Aokuso | 19 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | +9.5 |
| Jaiden Haile | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +2.0 |
| Julia Wilson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.8 |
| McKynnlie Dalan | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +4.3 |
| Christabel Osarobo | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3.4 |
| Paige Lofing | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -12.0 |
* = starter