Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.5% | 35.5% | -3.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -13 (68-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Norris | 36 | 8-10 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 22 | +17.1 |
| R. Bennett | 33 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | +14.4 |
| A. Sussex | 29 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 19 | +16.1 |
| N. Epps | 28 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 5 | +6.5 |
| T. Young | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +6.7 |
| E. Ersdala | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +0.6 |
| V. Baker | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -7.2 |
| S. Lentfer | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -1.7 |
| C. Davis | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -8.0 |
| T. Tsami | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9.7 |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Shine | 35 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +3.2 |
| K. Polk | 34 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2.5 |
| H. Wickstrom | 33 | 9-16 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 20 | -0.0 |
| S. Hackley | 31 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | -4.5 |
| M. Chocano | 22 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -10.0 |
| T. Swanson | 18 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | -8.9 |
| M. Minshall | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -6.8 |
| M. Mejia | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4.1 |
| D. Sylla | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Moreno Tallon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.9 |
* = starter