Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.8% | 37.2% | -2.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks -10 (59-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Sussex | 30 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | +10.5 |
| Megan Norris | 29 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 22 | +20.3 |
| Ryann Bennett | 27 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +17.5 |
| Tegan Young | 27 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +7.8 |
| Nya Epps | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +14.4 |
| Emmy Ersdala | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | +4.4 |
| Victoria Baker | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5.5 |
| Sophie Lentfer | 12 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Theoni Tsami | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -4.1 |
| Carrington Davis | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -4.3 |
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eden Sample | 36 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | -10.9 |
| Brooklyn McDaniel | 32 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Adriana Jones | 32 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -14.7 |
| Mina Djurdjevic | 28 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | -9.9 |
| Kyera Thornsbury | 26 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -9.5 |
| Vitoria Carvalho | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -19.4 |
| Makala Hobdy | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6.9 |
| Maria Sanchez Ponce | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | -7.0 |
* = starter