Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Weber State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.7% | 29.3% | -4.9 | ✓ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Weber State Wildcats -23 (52-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryann Bennett | 33 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Megan Norris | 31 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Avery Sussex | 30 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Nya Epps | 29 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Tegan Young | 27 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Emmy Ersdala | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Sophie Lentfer | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Theoni Tsami | 8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Carrington Davis | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lanae Billy | 36 | 7-15 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Hannah Robbins | 33 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -3 | - |
| Sydney White | 28 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Antoniette Emma-Nnopu | 27 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Paris Lauro | 25 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| M. Shaffer-Lauer | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Maya Davis | 16 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Nicole Willardson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter