Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho Vandals | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.0% | 29.0% | -4.9 | ✗ (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +13 (89-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Pinheiro | 32 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 1-6 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 22 | +10.5 |
| H. Hassmann | 31 | 1-11 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | +9.6 |
| K. Gardner | 29 | 5-16 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 7 | +15.6 |
| E. Uriarte | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +1.2 |
| L. Barbosa | 18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. McMorris | 16 | 3-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | +14.1 |
| A. Passos Alves da Silva | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -0.1 |
| S. Brans | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +3.2 |
| D. dos Santos | 8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +11.9 |
| N. Henley | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8.9 |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Epps | 37 | 7-17 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 6 | -16.8 |
| R. Bennett | 35 | 8-17 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 18 | +11.1 |
| T. Young | 34 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | -17.7 |
| M. Norris | 34 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -16.3 |
| A. Sussex | 24 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | -4.2 |
| S. Lentfer | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -14.5 |
| E. Ersdala | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +6.5 |
| T. Tsami | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.9 |
| C. Davis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
* = starter