Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.4% | 12.6% | -10.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners -10 (59-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryann Bennett | 37 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Megan Norris | 36 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 26 | - |
| Tegan Young | 34 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Nya Epps | 31 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 10-14 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Avery Sussex | 29 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Victoria Baker | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Sophie Lentfer | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Emmy Ersdala | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Theoni Tsami | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Hawkins | 37 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Marley Langi | 34 | 6-18 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Chrishawn Coleman | 34 | 6-22 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | -1 | - |
| Maria Dias | 32 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Tena Ikidi | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Dae'Jaidence Kincade | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Aaliyah Carter | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Adrienne Puletasi | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zalissa Finley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tianna Sutherland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter