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North Carolina

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History
Coach: Roy Williams

2018 Team Stats (28 games)

80.6
PPG
74.2
Opp
+7.1
Margin
45.5%
FG%
34.6%
3P%
75.4%
FT%
41.4
RPG
18.0
APG
11.4
TO
84.2
Pace

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1546 (#40) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1524 (#29) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +39.4 (#18) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.728 (#16) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.9 More → 0.654 (#16) NetEff +5.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.6 More → 0.884 (#6) AdjNet +17.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +17.8 More → 0.886 (#6) AdjNet +17.8

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs Northern Iowa Panthers W 86 - 69
2017-11-20 @ Stanford Cardinal W 96 - 72
2017-11-23 vs Portland Pilots W 102 - 78
2017-12-03 vs Tulane Green Wave W 97 - 73
2017-12-17 @ Tennessee Volunteers W 78 - 73
2017-12-20 vs Wofford Terriers L 75 - 79
2018-01-03 @ Florida State Seminoles L 80 - 81
2018-01-06 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 49 - 61
2018-01-09 vs Boston College Eagles W 96 - 66
2018-01-13 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 69 - 68
2018-01-16 vs Clemson Tigers W 87 - 79
2018-01-20 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 80 - 66
2018-01-22 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 69 - 80
2018-01-27 vs NC State Wolfpack L 91 - 95
2018-01-30 @ Clemson Tigers L 78 - 82
2018-02-03 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 96 - 65
2018-02-08 vs Duke Blue Devils W 82 - 78
2018-02-10 @ NC State Wolfpack W 96 - 89
2018-02-12 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 83 - 66
2018-02-17 @ Louisville Cardinals W 93 - 76
2018-02-21 @ Syracuse Orange W 78 - 74
2018-02-27 vs Miami Hurricanes L 88 - 91
2018-03-03 @ Duke Blue Devils L 64 - 74
2018-03-07 vs Syracuse Orange W 78 - 59
2018-03-08 @ Miami Hurricanes W 82 - 65
2018-03-09 @ Duke Blue Devils W 74 - 69
2018-03-10 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 63 - 71
2018-03-16 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 84 - 66
2018-03-18 vs Texas A&M Aggies L 65 - 86

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Berry II J. Berry II G 28 33.9 17.8 3.7 3.1 1.1 0.3 2.0 15.0 9.1 44 5.5 10.1 40.8 35.0 90.8 1.2 54.5 50.0
L. Maye L. Maye F 29 32.2 16.6 9.7 2.2 1.0 1.0 1.8 14.1 14.6 - - - 47.8 39.8 63.1 - 53.9 52.3
C. Johnson C. Johnson - 24 29.6 12.4 4.7 2.5 0.7 0.2 1.0 10.5 9.0 44 3.7 4.3 41.8 32.3 83.6 1.06 54.1 50.2
K. Williams K. Williams G 29 31.7 11.4 3.7 2.5 1.0 0.5 1.0 8.7 9.4 22 2.2 6.5 49.2 39.9 69.4 0.68 62.0 60.9
Theo Pinson Theo Pinson - 29 29.6 10.0 6.8 5.3 1.2 0.4 2.2 7.4 14.2 - - - 48.1 27.5 80.4 - 57.2 50.7
S. Manley S. Manley - 29 9.6 5.4 3.4 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.8 3.5 5.4 - - - 56.9 0 70.7 - 61.6 56.9
G. Brooks G. Brooks C 29 13.2 4.2 3.1 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.8 2.9 4.7 - - - 55.3 0 67.4 - 59.2 55.3
J. Felton J. Felton G 14 9.3 2.1 0.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 1.1 2.6 0.9 - - - 33.3 10.5 75.0 - 38.4 36.1
A. Platek A. Platek - 27 6.7 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.7 - - - 51.3 36.8 83.3 - 62.4 60.3
B. Huffman B. Huffman C 21 3.1 1.8 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.9 - - - 63.6 0 56.2 - 63.7 63.6
B. Robinson B. Robinson G 28 8.0 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.3 1.7 -68 -4.2 -5.6 29.7 33.3 55.6 0.16 40.3 37.8
S. Woods S. Woods G 16 6.8 1.0 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.6 1.4 0.8 - - - 26.1 0.0 80.0 - 31.7 26.1
S. Rush S. Rush F 15 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.0 - - - 30.0 33.3 0 - 35.0 35.0
A. Rohlman A. Rohlman F 16 1.4 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 - - - 100.0 0 0.0 - 82.0 100.0
K. Ma K. Ma G 12 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
W. Miller W. Miller F 15 1.5 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 - - - 0.0 0 0 -0.16 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG