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2018-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 10.1% 89.9% -
Bradley-Terry 19.3% 80.7% -
Margin 6.8% 93.2% +14.4 (15.6 off)
Pythagorean 30.4% 69.6% -
Efficiency 15.9% 84.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.8% 70.2% -
Log Adjusted 29.8% 70.2% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +30 (96-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Wilson 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Bowman * 37 8-18 4-12 1-3 4 5 1 0 3 21 10 -
J. Robinson * 36 6-13 3-6 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 15 7 -
J. Chatman * 35 4-12 3-7 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 11 1 -
S. Mitchell * 32 3-6 2-4 3-4 10 2 0 2 1 11 18 -
N. Popovic * 16 2-7 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 4 3 -
J. Reyes 17 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 1 0 1 6 -
L. Kraljevic 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 2 5 -
V. Baker Jr. 6 0-2 0-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -
E. Meznieks 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
G. Gehan 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Maye * 33 13-20 4-5 2-2 18 2 0 1 3 32 30 -
K. Williams * 32 4-11 2-8 0-0 2 3 0 1 1 10 4 -
C. Johnson * 32 5-10 0-3 4-4 11 5 1 0 0 14 21 -
J. Berry II * 29 4-13 3-8 2-2 3 3 0 1 0 13 7 -
T. Pinson * 26 4-7 0-0 0-0 8 5 0 1 0 8 15 -
G. Brooks 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 4 6 -
S. Manley 11 4-8 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 1 1 9 7 -
J. Felton 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
B. Robinson 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
A. Platek 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Rush 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
B. Huffman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Ma 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Rohlman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Miller 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter