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2018-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 22.1% 77.9% -
Bradley-Terry 32.3% 67.7% -
Margin 17.7% 82.3% +8.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% -
Efficiency 13.4% 86.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.1% 78.9% -
Log Adjusted 21.1% 78.9% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -3 (88-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Walker IV * 32 5-11 3-7 0-1 0 1 1 0 0 13 4 -
C. Lykes * 29 6-12 4-8 2-2 1 4 1 0 5 18 7 -
J. Newton * 28 5-11 1-1 4-4 0 3 0 0 0 15 7 -
A. Lawrence II * 26 2-5 0-1 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 6 6 -
D. Hernandez * 21 6-10 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 1 1 14 13 -
S. Waardenburg 23 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 4 2 1 1 3 8 -
D. Vasiljevic 22 4-4 2-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 10 7 -
E. Izundu 19 5-6 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 12 12 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Pinson * 39 3-9 2-4 4-4 2 11 2 2 3 12 17 -
J. Berry II * 36 11-17 5-8 4-7 2 3 3 1 3 31 20 -
L. Maye * 34 6-10 1-3 1-2 10 0 0 0 2 14 12 -
A. Rohlman * 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
K. Ma * 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Williams 34 3-7 2-5 0-0 2 2 1 1 1 8 6 -
C. Johnson 33 7-10 3-5 3-5 5 2 0 0 0 20 17 -
G. Brooks 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 2 6 -
S. Woods 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 0 -3 -
S. Manley 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
B. Robinson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Platek 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter