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2018-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Syracuse Orange North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 25.4% 74.6% -
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% -
Margin 14.6% 85.4% +9.7 (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 25.3% 74.7% -
Efficiency 10.2% 89.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.4% 80.6% -
Log Adjusted 19.5% 80.5% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +19 (78-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Battle * 39 4-21 2-8 5-5 3 2 1 0 1 15 -1 -
F. Howard * 39 4-18 1-7 3-3 2 4 3 0 7 12 -4 -
O. Brissett * 38 7-14 5-7 1-2 10 0 1 1 1 20 17 -
M. Dolezaj * 37 2-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 6 6 -
P. Chukwu * 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 3 0 2 8 -
B. Sidibe 22 2-3 0-0 0-2 10 0 0 0 0 4 11 -
M. Moyer 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Herlihy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Featherston 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Bayer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Autry 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Belbey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Berry II * 36 2-9 2-7 2-2 2 4 0 0 2 8 3 -
K. Williams * 34 7-11 2-5 1-1 3 2 3 1 0 17 15 -
C. Johnson * 34 5-12 2-6 1-2 5 4 0 0 1 13 9 -
L. Maye * 33 4-9 0-1 5-7 9 2 2 0 4 13 13 -
T. Pinson * 30 4-9 0-0 8-10 11 6 2 1 2 16 25 -
G. Brooks 8 0-1 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 1 0 3 6 -
S. Manley 7 2-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
B. Robinson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
A. Platek 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
S. Woods 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Rush 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Huffman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Ma 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Miller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Rohlman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter