Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.0% | 40.0% | -2.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -7 (89-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Maye * | 36 | 15-22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 28 | - |
| J. Berry II * | 35 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| K. Williams * | 35 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| C. Johnson * | 31 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T. Pinson * | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 12 | - |
| B. Robinson | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Manley | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| G. Brooks | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Platek | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Woods | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Freeman * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| B. Beverly * | 37 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| M. Johnson * | 34 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 14 | - |
| T. Dorn * | 33 | 10-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| O. Yurtseven * | 19 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Abu | 16 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| L. Freeman | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| S. Hunt | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter