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2018-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Clemson Tigers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 69.5% 30.5% -
Bradley-Terry 32.4% 67.6% -
Margin 25.7% 74.3% +5.8 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.2% 56.8% -
Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% -
Log Adjusted 38.7% 61.3% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +8 (87-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Reed * 38 7-14 3-8 4-4 5 1 5 0 7 21 11 -
S. Mitchell * 37 6-10 3-7 3-3 2 4 1 0 3 18 12 -
G. DeVoe * 31 4-7 3-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 11 6 -
D. Grantham * 30 1-9 1-5 2-2 3 5 1 1 1 5 5 -
E. Thomas * 27 7-9 0-0 2-7 6 2 0 1 1 16 15 -
D. Skara 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 -
M. Donnal 12 1-2 1-2 0-1 1 1 0 1 1 3 3 -
A. Simms 4 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
C. Trapp 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Spencer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. William 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Oliver II 1 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Williams * 37 5-9 2-5 3-4 3 2 1 0 3 15 9 -
J. Berry II * 36 4-12 4-9 5-5 0 4 1 0 2 17 8 -
L. Maye * 32 4-8 1-2 2-4 4 5 2 2 2 11 14 -
T. Pinson * 31 2-7 0-4 8-8 7 6 1 3 2 12 20 -
C. Johnson * 28 7-10 6-9 1-2 4 3 0 0 2 21 16 -
G. Brooks 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
B. Robinson 9 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 6 9 -
S. Manley 5 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Felton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
A. Platek 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Huffman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
W. Miller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Ma 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Rush 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Rohlman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter