Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.5% | 80.5% | +7.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 22.7% | 77.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -4 (91-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Dorn * | 42 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| M. Johnson * | 39 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 19 | - |
| B. Beverly * | 38 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| O. Yurtseven * | 37 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| A. Abu * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Freeman | 41 | 8-11 | 7-7 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 23 | - |
| L. Batts Jr. | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Freeman | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Hunt | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Berry II * | 41 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| L. Maye * | 37 | 12-23 | 3-6 | 4-8 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 24 | - |
| T. Pinson * | 36 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 20 | - |
| K. Williams * | 34 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Johnson * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| G. Brooks | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Platek | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| B. Robinson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Manley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | - |
| J. Felton | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter