Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.2% | 81.8% | +9.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.4% | 86.6% | +10.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -4 (91-95). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torin Dorn * | 42 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Markell Johnson * | 39 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Braxton Beverly * | 38 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Omer Yurtseven * | 37 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| A. Abu * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Allerik Freeman | 41 | 8-11 | 7-7 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 23 | - |
| L. Batts Jr. | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lennard Freeman | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Sam Hunt | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Berry II * | 41 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Luke Maye * | 37 | 12-23 | 3-6 | 4-8 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 24 | - |
| Theo Pinson * | 36 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Kenny Williams * | 34 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 33 | 5-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Garrison Brooks | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sterling Manley | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Jalek Felton | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter