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2018-03-08

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Miami Hurricanes Spread Result
Elo 63.8% 36.2% -
Bradley-Terry 54.1% 45.9% -
Margin 62.8% 37.2% -2.9 (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% -
Efficiency 80.6% 19.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.9% 27.1% -
Log Adjusted 72.9% 27.1% -

Actual: Miami Hurricanes -17 (65-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Pinson * 35 9-12 2-2 5-6 11 3 3 1 4 25 27 -
K. Williams * 34 4-9 1-5 2-2 5 1 0 3 0 11 11 -
J. Berry II * 32 4-14 1-6 2-2 2 2 1 1 1 11 2 -
C. Johnson * 31 3-8 1-4 6-7 7 5 1 1 0 13 19 -
L. Maye * 30 1-15 0-5 0-0 13 2 0 0 1 2 1 -
G. Brooks 9 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 0 5 7 -
B. Robinson 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 3 6 -
S. Manley 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
S. Woods 6 1-3 0-0 1-1 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
A. Platek 4 0-2 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
S. Rush 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Huffman 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
K. Ma 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Miller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Rohlman 1 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Walker IV * 35 4-14 0-5 1-2 6 3 1 0 1 9 4 -
J. Newton * 33 7-16 2-2 1-2 7 1 0 0 4 17 5 -
C. Lykes * 27 3-11 0-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 6 -3 -
A. Lawrence II * 27 4-7 2-2 2-3 6 1 1 3 0 12 16 -
D. Hernandez * 22 2-8 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 0 1 5 4 -
S. Waardenburg 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 2 1 2 7 -
D. Vasiljevic 17 2-6 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
E. Izundu 13 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 1 0 5 10 -
R. Miller Jr. 5 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
C. Stowell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Robinson 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter