Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Syracuse Orange | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.0% | 32.0% | -4.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Syracuse Orange -4 (74-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Berry II * | 36 | 6-17 | 4-12 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| L. Maye * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| K. Williams * | 36 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| T. Pinson * | 34 | 9-12 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 24 | - |
| C. Johnson * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| S. Manley | 17 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| A. Platek | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| S. Woods | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Robinson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Brooks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Syracuse Orange
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Battle * | 40 | 9-23 | 0-5 | 8-9 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 7 | - |
| O. Brissett * | 40 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - |
| F. Howard * | 40 | 8-17 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 10 | - |
| M. Dolezaj * | 30 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| P. Chukwu * | 29 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | - |
| M. Moyer | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Sidibe | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter