Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.6% | 98.4% | +22.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +24 (102-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Hartwich * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - |
| F. Porter * | 26 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 13 | - |
| J. McSwiggan * | 25 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Diabate * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Walker * | 18 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| M. Porter | 22 | 5-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| M. Shaver Jr. | 21 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| D. Tyson | 19 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| R. Jackson | 9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Stone | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Smoyer | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Maye * | 27 | 9-15 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| J. Berry II * | 26 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| T. Pinson * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 18 | - |
| K. Williams * | 25 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| G. Brooks * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Felton | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Manley | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| S. Woods | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Robinson | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Platek | 10 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| B. Huffman | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Rohlman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Rush | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| W. Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter