Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Tennessee Volunteers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.2% | 73.8% | +5.7 | ✗ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee Volunteers -5 (73-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Pinson * | 35 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | - |
| K. Williams * | 35 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| L. Maye * | 29 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| J. Berry II * | 28 | 7-19 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 6 | - |
| G. Brooks * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| S. Manley | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| J. Felton | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Robinson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| A. Platek | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Huffman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tennessee Volunteers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bowden * | 27 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| G. Williams * | 26 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| A. Schofield * | 26 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -4 | - |
| J. Bone * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. Alexander * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| L. Turner | 24 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Daniel III | 20 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Fulkerson | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| C. Darrington | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| D. Walker | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter