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2018-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 25.0% 75.0% -
Bradley-Terry 19.3% 80.7% -
Margin 12.8% 87.2% +10.6 (20.4 off)
Pythagorean 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +31 (96-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Stewart * 32 2-8 2-5 0-0 10 1 1 0 1 6 9 -
M. Carr * 32 8-11 3-5 3-5 4 5 1 0 2 22 19 -
J. Wilson-Frame * 32 5-13 4-9 1-1 3 3 2 0 3 15 7 -
T. Brown * 25 5-9 0-1 4-4 3 0 1 3 2 14 10 -
K. Davis * 23 0-5 0-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 -2 -
S. Stevenson 20 3-6 1-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 5 7 -3 -
J. Milligan 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 0 -1 -
K. Chukwuka 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Boykins 7 0-4 0-3 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 1 -3 -
P. Ilegomah 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. George 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Smith 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Maye * 31 9-15 3-5 5-5 8 5 3 0 1 26 26 -
C. Johnson * 30 5-14 1-7 3-5 2 4 2 0 0 14 8 -
J. Berry II * 29 4-10 4-8 0-0 6 6 1 0 0 12 15 -
T. Pinson * 27 1-7 0-1 0-0 13 8 0 0 1 2 15 -
K. Williams * 24 6-9 3-5 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 15 9 -
G. Brooks 18 5-6 0-0 0-1 2 1 3 0 2 10 8 -
A. Platek 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 2 -
B. Robinson 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 5 -
S. Manley 7 3-4 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 1 1 10 7 -
B. Huffman 5 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 3 3 -
S. Rush 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
K. Ma 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Rohlman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Miller 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter