Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.4% | 96.6% | +22.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +31 (96-65). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Stewart * | 32 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Marcus Carr * | 32 | 8-11 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Jared Wilson-Frame * | 32 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Terrell Brown * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Kham Davis * | 23 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Shamiel Stevenson | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -3 | - |
| Jonathan Milligan | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kene Chukwuka | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Monty Boykins | 7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Peace Ilegomah | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Samson George | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zach Smith | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Maye * | 31 | 9-15 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 26 | - |
| Cameron Johnson * | 30 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 3-5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Joel Berry II * | 29 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Theo Pinson * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - |
| Kenny Williams * | 24 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Garrison Brooks | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Andrew Platek | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Robinson | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Sterling Manley | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Huffman | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Shea Rush | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kane Ma | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Aaron Rohlman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Walker Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter