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2018-01-30

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 18.0% 82.0% -
Bradley-Terry 53.9% 46.1% -
Margin 51.2% 48.8% -0.3 (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% -
Efficiency 58.8% 41.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.2% 44.8% -
Log Adjusted 55.3% 44.7% -

Actual: Clemson Tigers +4 (82-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Berry II * 39 10-16 3-7 4-4 3 4 2 0 3 27 17 -
L. Maye * 34 2-8 0-2 0-0 9 2 2 3 2 4 10 -
C. Johnson * 32 10-18 6-10 6-6 4 1 1 0 2 32 18 -
K. Williams * 29 2-6 1-3 1-1 3 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
T. Pinson * 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
S. Manley 20 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 1 6 8 -
G. Brooks 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
A. Platek 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
B. Robinson 10 0-2 0-1 1-3 2 2 0 0 1 1 2 -
B. Huffman 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Reed * 37 5-15 3-8 7-7 8 5 1 0 0 20 19 -
S. Mitchell * 35 4-10 3-6 3-4 4 4 0 0 2 14 10 -
G. DeVoe * 34 6-12 5-8 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 17 12 -
E. Thomas * 29 3-11 0-0 5-11 6 0 0 6 3 11 9 -
D. Skara * 18 1-3 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 2 1 5 4 -
A. Simms 23 2-3 1-2 1-2 5 1 0 1 3 6 7 -
C. Trapp 13 2-4 1-2 1-1 1 2 0 0 0 6 5 -
M. William 11 1-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 3 5 -

* = starter