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2018-01-22

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 56.4% 43.6% -
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% -
Margin 57.8% 42.2% -1.7 (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 64.9% 35.1% -
Efficiency 85.0% 15.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.6% 26.4% -
Log Adjusted 73.6% 26.4% -

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +11 (80-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Rush 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Miller 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Ma 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Rohlman 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Huffman 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Maye * 34 10-16 3-4 0-0 9 1 0 3 2 23 18 -
J. Berry II * 33 9-19 4-12 1-1 7 2 0 0 5 23 8 -
T. Pinson * 31 1-2 0-0 2-2 6 8 1 0 3 4 14 -
K. Williams * 26 1-6 0-4 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
C. Johnson * 26 1-9 1-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 -2 -
B. Robinson 15 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 5 4 -
G. Brooks 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
S. Manley 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 1 0 1 -
A. Platek 7 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Felton 6 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 2 4 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bibbs * 37 3-10 2-7 0-2 5 4 2 1 4 8 6 -
K. Blackshear Jr. * 33 6-10 2-5 2-2 5 1 0 0 3 16 9 -
A. Hill * 30 8-12 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 18 9 -
J. Robinson * 29 7-13 3-5 2-3 5 4 1 0 1 19 15 -
N. Alexander-Walker * 21 2-10 1-5 3-3 5 1 1 0 0 8 5 -
C. Clarke 27 3-6 1-2 1-2 8 4 2 0 1 8 15 -
D. Wilson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
W. Bede 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
P.J. Horne 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Jackson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter