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Michigan State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Michigan State Spartans, Michigan State
Program History
Coach: Tom Izzo

2014 Team Stats (29 games)

73.5
PPG
66.0
Opp
+7.5
Margin
47.6%
FG%
39.9%
3P%
71.4%
FT%
35.1
RPG
16.2
APG
11.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
78.2
Adj PPG
60.8
Adj Opp PPG
#4
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1303 (#13) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1337 (#9) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More → 1161 (#13) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +18.6 (#5) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +17.5 (#9) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.836 (#22) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +26.4 More → 0.955 (#9) AdjNet +26.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +26.8 More → 0.956 (#9) AdjNet +26.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 60.8 More → 0.830 (#4) AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 60.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 62.6 More → 0.747 (#11) AdjO 74.5 | AdjD 62.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.879 (#9) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.868 (#9) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 88 | GP 38 More → 1332 (#14) RD 88 | GP 38

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 vs McNeese Cowboys W 98 - 56
2013-11-12 @ Kentucky Wildcats W 78 - 74
2013-11-15 vs Columbia Lions W 62 - 53
2013-11-18 vs Portland Pilots W 82 - 67
2013-11-22 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 96 - 77
2013-11-23 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 87 - 76
2013-11-29 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 98 - 65
2013-12-04 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 65 - 79
2013-12-14 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 67 - 63
2013-12-17 vs North Florida Ospreys W 78 - 48
2013-12-21 @ Texas Longhorns W 92 - 78
2013-12-28 vs LSU New Orleans Privateers W 101 - 48
2013-12-31 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 79 - 63
2014-01-04 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 73 - 56
2014-01-07 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 72 - 68
2014-01-11 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 87 - 75
2014-01-15 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 54 - 40
2014-01-18 @ Illinois Fighting Illini W 78 - 62
2014-01-21 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 71 - 66
2014-01-25 vs Michigan Wolverines L 75 - 80
2014-01-28 @ Iowa Hawkeyes W 71 - 69
2014-02-01 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 60 - 64
2014-02-06 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 82 - 67
2014-02-09 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 58 - 60
2014-02-13 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 85 - 70
2014-02-16 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers L 51 - 60
2014-02-20 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 94 - 79
2014-02-23 @ Michigan Wolverines L 70 - 79
2014-03-01 vs Illinois Fighting Illini L 46 - 53
2014-03-06 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 86 - 76
2014-03-09 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 67 - 69
2014-03-14 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 67 - 51
2014-03-15 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 83 - 75
2014-03-16 @ Michigan Wolverines W 69 - 55
2014-03-20 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 93 - 78
2014-03-22 vs Harvard Crimson W 80 - 73
2014-03-28 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 61 - 59
2014-03-30 vs UConn Huskies L 54 - 60

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Gary Harris Gary Harris G 34 32.4 16.7 3.9 2.6 1.7 0.4 1.8 10.7 12.8 287 31 9.3 12.4 43.7 36.4 81.0 3.27 68.3 52.3
Adreian Payne Adreian Payne C 30 28.0 16.4 7.3 1.3 0.5 0.9 2.0 9.7 14.7 233 28 8.3 12.8 50.0 43.2 80.0 -0.02 71.8 56.6
Branden Dawson Branden Dawson F 28 28.3 11.2 8.3 1.6 1.2 0.9 1.3 6.5 15.6 222 23 9.7 14.6 61.3 0.0 64.2 3.51 76.8 61.3
Keith Appling Keith Appling G 34 31.5 10.7 3.0 4.4 1.2 0.4 2.1 6.4 11.1 268 30 8.9 12.6 44.0 29.0 55.4 3.67 72.1 48.6
Denzel Valentine Denzel Valentine G 37 29.4 7.9 5.8 3.7 1.0 0.3 1.8 5.8 11.2 312 33 9.5 14.1 40.8 38.5 68.4 4.78 61.5 49.5
Travis Trice Travis Trice G 35 22.3 7.4 1.7 2.3 0.9 0.2 1.0 4.9 6.6 222 31 7.2 14.1 43.5 45.5 83.8 3.02 69.3 57.1
Kenny Kaminski Kenny Kaminski F 30 12.4 4.9 1.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 3.0 4.0 89 27 3.3 12.1 50.5 47.1 66.7 0.97 79.0 68.1
Matt Costello Matt Costello F 34 14.7 4.0 3.3 0.8 0.3 1.3 0.6 2.1 6.9 105 30 3.5 10.4 59.7 0 67.5 -1.18 76.5 59.7
A. Ellis III A. Ellis III G 35 7.8 1.8 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.6 17 30 0.6 3.0 51.4 45.5 69.2 -0.45 74.9 58.1
Alex Gauna Alex Gauna F 28 7.0 1.4 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.9 1.9 36 25 1.4 9.1 48.0 0.0 33.3 -3.19 69.1 48.0
Gavin Schilling Gavin Schilling F 35 6.4 1.4 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 2.3 28 32 0.9 5.9 50.0 0 66.7 -1.99 75.2 50.0
Russell Byrd Russell Byrd G 23 6.9 1.1 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 15 22 0.7 3.9 33.3 30.8 66.7 -2.02 79.7 46.7
Keenan Wetzel Keenan Wetzel G 12 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 -27 12 -2.2 -55.1 57.1 50.0 0 -3.99 64.3 64.3
Colby Wollenman Colby Wollenman F 11 1.9 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 -18 11 -1.6 -32.3 0.0 0 100.0 -2.74 79.8 0.0
Trevor Bohnhoff Trevor Bohnhoff F 7 1.6 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 -18 7 -2.6 -58.9 0.0 0 0 -3.09 100.0 0.0
Dan Chapman Dan Chapman G 13 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 -0.1 -21 11 -1.9 -47.5 25.0 33.3 0 -2.81 37.5 37.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG