Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.4% | 56.6% | +1.5 | ✗ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines -14 (55-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Appling * | 37 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 30 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 29 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 24 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Travis Trice | 21 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kenny Kaminski | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Matt Costello | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keenan Wetzel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Colby Wollenman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dan Chapman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nik Stauskas * | 39 | 4-14 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 3 | - |
| Caris LeVert * | 34 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| G. Robinson III * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Walton Jr. * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Morgan * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Zak Irvin | 15 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Max Bielfeldt | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Spike Albrecht | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jon Horford | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Dakich | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sean Lonergan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter