Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.5% | 51.5% | +0.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines -14 (55-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Appling * | 37 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| G. Harris * | 30 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| A. Payne * | 29 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| B. Dawson * | 24 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| D. Valentine * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| T. Trice II | 21 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Kaminski | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Costello | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Schilling | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| R. Byrd | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Gauna | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Wetzel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Wollenman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Chapman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Stauskas * | 39 | 4-14 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 3 | - |
| C. LeVert * | 34 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| G. Robinson III * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Walton Jr. * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Morgan * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Z. Irvin | 15 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Bielfeldt | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Albrecht | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Horford | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Dakich | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Lonergan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter