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2014-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 74.9% 25.1% -
Bradley-Terry 52.8% 47.2% -
Margin 61.5% 38.5% -2.6 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 67.2% 32.8% -
Efficiency 86.5% 13.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.3% 22.7% -
Log Adjusted 77.3% 22.7% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -17 (56-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Harris 37 8-18 5-10 5-6 4 2 5 0 0 26 19 -
B. Dawson 30 6-7 0-0 1-1 6 1 3 2 2 13 16 -
D. Valentine 29 2-6 1-2 0-0 6 4 1 1 1 5 10 -
K. Appling 26 6-10 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 14 6 -
A. Payne 25 2-6 0-3 0-0 5 2 0 2 2 4 5 -
T. Trice II 18 2-6 1-3 1-3 0 4 1 0 2 6 3 -
M. Costello 15 1-2 0-0 0-1 3 0 2 3 2 2 6 -
K. Kaminski 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 3 4 -
R. Byrd 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Gauna 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
G. Schilling 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Ellis III 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Y. Ferrell 33 5-11 2-3 5-6 1 2 3 0 5 17 7 -
W. Sheehey 30 4-6 3-3 2-2 0 1 1 0 1 13 8 -
S. Robinson 26 5-9 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 11 7 -
N. Vonleh 25 2-4 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 1 2 5 9 -
T. Williams 25 1-6 0-2 2-5 4 1 1 0 0 4 4 -
J. Hollowell 22 1-5 0-2 2-2 4 2 0 0 2 4 3 -
E. Gordon 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Davis 13 1-3 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
H. Mosquera-Perea 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Marlin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Hartman 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter