Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | +6.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | +1.4 | ✗ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -2 (59-61). Ratings: 2013-14 season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Byrd | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 35 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 34 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Travis Trice II | 25 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kenny Kaminski | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Matt Costello | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teven Jones | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| London Perrantes * | 36 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 36 | 4-14 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Joe Harris * | 32 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Akil Mitchell * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mike Tobey * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Justin Anderson | 21 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Anthony Gill | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Evan Nolte | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Darion Atkins | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter