Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✗ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -2 (59-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Byrd | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Valentine * | 35 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| B. Dawson * | 34 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 20 | - |
| A. Payne * | 32 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| K. Appling * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| G. Harris * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Trice II | 25 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Kaminski | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Costello | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Schilling | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jones | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Perrantes * | 36 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Brogdon * | 36 | 4-14 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| J. Harris * | 32 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| A. Mitchell * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Tobey * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Anderson | 21 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Gill | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| E. Nolte | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Atkins | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter