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2014-03-30

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 50.8% 49.2% -
Bradley-Terry 48.5% 51.5% -
Margin 30.2% 69.8% +4.6 (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 43.3% 56.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.6% 66.4% -
Log Adjusted 33.3% 66.7% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans -6 (54-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Boatright * 38 3-9 1-5 4-4 2 1 4 0 1 11 8 -
S. Napier * 37 6-14 4-9 9-9 6 4 1 0 2 25 20 -
D. Daniels * 36 4-10 0-2 4-5 8 0 2 2 2 12 12 -
N. Giffey * 35 2-10 0-5 2-2 5 2 0 0 1 6 2 -
P. Nolan * 27 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 4 6 -
A. Brimah 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Kromah 10 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
T. Samuel 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Olander 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Chapman 0 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
D. Valentine * 37 3-6 3-4 0-0 8 2 2 0 4 9 11 -
G. Harris * 37 8-14 4-9 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 22 10 -
A. Payne * 35 4-14 3-10 2-2 9 3 1 1 2 13 11 -
B. Dawson * 34 1-3 0-0 3-4 8 0 1 1 3 5 9 -
K. Appling * 28 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 4 2 -3 -
T. Trice II 18 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 -2 -
K. Kaminski 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Costello 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 1 0 0 4 -

* = starter