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Harvard Crimson 73
@
Michigan State Spartans 80
2014-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 2.2% 97.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 13.5% 86.5% - ✓
Margin 1.9% 98.1% +21.7 ✓ (14.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% - ✗
Efficiency 68.9% 31.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 39.0% 61.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 38.8% 61.2% - ✓

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +7 (80-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Saunders * 38 6-14 0-1 10-10 3 2 3 0 3 22 13 -
S. Chambers * 38 2-7 1-5 5-6 4 4 0 0 3 10 8 -
L. Rivard * 36 2-5 2-5 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
S. Moundou-Missi * 31 5-11 0-0 1-2 10 1 0 2 1 11 12 -
K. Casey * 13 1-5 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 1 4 3 0 -
B. Curry 31 4-7 3-6 1-2 6 1 1 0 0 12 13 -
J. Travis 8 2-3 0-0 4-5 2 0 0 0 0 8 7 -
E. Cummins 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Harris * 38 5-11 2-6 6-6 2 5 3 0 4 18 13 -
D. Valentine * 32 2-7 1-4 1-2 7 6 1 0 1 6 12 -
B. Dawson * 31 12-15 0-1 2-2 9 1 1 0 1 26 21 -
A. Payne * 30 4-10 1-3 3-4 4 0 0 0 2 12 4 -
K. Appling * 22 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 3 1 0 2 2 3 -
T. Trice II 24 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 5 4 -
K. Kaminski 9 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 6 -
M. Costello 7 0-0 0-0 3-6 2 0 1 1 1 3 6 -
A. Ellis III 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
G. Schilling 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter