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2014-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 29.5% 70.5% -
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% -
Margin 27.1% 72.9% +5.4 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% -
Efficiency 29.8% 70.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.8% 59.2% -
Log Adjusted 40.8% 59.2% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans -5 (75-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. LeVert * 39 4-10 3-5 6-7 8 3 0 0 3 17 15 -
N. Stauskas * 38 7-12 5-6 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 19 13 -
D. Walton Jr. * 30 4-7 2-2 9-10 6 4 0 0 1 19 21 -
G. Robinson III * 26 2-8 0-2 5-6 1 1 0 0 3 9 0 -
J. Morgan * 19 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
J. Horford 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 3 1 6 9 -
Z. Irvin 17 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
S. Albrecht 10 0-2 0-1 3-5 3 1 0 0 1 3 4 -
M. Bielfeldt 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Chapman 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Harris * 38 9-16 4-6 5-9 5 2 3 0 1 27 20 -
K. Appling * 37 3-11 0-2 4-6 3 10 2 2 1 10 15 -
D. Valentine * 30 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 2 3 -
M. Costello * 28 3-6 0-0 3-4 8 0 1 0 1 9 11 -
K. Kaminski * 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 -1 -
T. Trice II 18 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 5 -
R. Byrd 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
A. Ellis III 11 4-4 2-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 12 10 -
G. Schilling 7 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 2 1 4 8 -
A. Gauna 4 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 1 -

* = starter