Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Tech Hokies | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +19 (96-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Smith * | 28 | 9-19 | 4-9 | 5-5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 17 | - |
| D. Wilson * | 26 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Eddie * | 24 | 7-12 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | - |
| M. Wood * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| C. Raines * | 12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| C.J. Barksdale | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| B. Emelogu II | 19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| T. Thompson | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | - |
| W. Johnston | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Beyer | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. van Zegeren | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| G. Donlon | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Appling * | 31 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 30 | 10-15 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 31 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 25 | 6-19 | 2-12 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Matt Costello * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Travis Trice | 23 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Denzel Valentine | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kenny Kaminski | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Keenan Wetzel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dan Chapman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Colby Wollenman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter