Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | +6.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -7 (46-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Nunn * | 34 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 34 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| R. Rice * | 32 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| N. Egwu * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Hill * | 21 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| J. Ekey | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Morgan | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Tate | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Colbert | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ellis III | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Harris * | 35 | 7-16 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| D. Valentine * | 34 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Appling * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Payne * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| G. Schilling * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| B. Dawson | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. Trice II | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Costello | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Kaminski | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter