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2014-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 36.8% 63.2% -
Bradley-Terry 26.3% 73.7% -
Margin 24.1% 75.9% +6.3 (13.3 off)
Pythagorean 20.0% 80.0% -
Efficiency 3.0% 97.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.3% 93.7% -
Log Adjusted 6.2% 93.8% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans -7 (46-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Nunn * 34 3-9 2-4 0-0 6 4 0 0 3 8 6 -
T. Abrams * 34 4-9 2-6 2-2 1 4 5 0 4 12 9 -
R. Rice * 32 4-9 1-3 1-4 5 1 5 0 2 10 10 -
N. Egwu * 29 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 3 2 4 5 -
M. Hill * 21 4-5 2-2 0-1 5 2 1 0 0 10 13 -
J. Ekey 22 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 2 1 0 7 6 -
J. Bertrand 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
M. Morgan 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Tate 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
A. Colbert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Ellis III 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Harris * 35 7-16 5-10 0-0 5 1 4 1 0 19 14 -
D. Valentine * 34 1-6 1-5 0-1 4 4 0 0 5 3 0 -
K. Appling * 34 2-5 0-1 1-5 3 4 1 0 4 5 4 -
A. Payne * 25 2-5 0-1 0-1 7 2 0 0 4 4 4 -
G. Schilling * 15 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
B. Dawson 25 2-6 0-0 2-2 7 0 2 1 2 6 8 -
T. Trice II 20 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
M. Costello 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
K. Kaminski 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter