Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Wisconsin Badgers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +2 (60-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Harris * | 36 | 3-20 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -4 | - |
| T. Trice II * | 35 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| A. Payne * | 32 | 9-16 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 6 | - |
| D. Valentine * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Costello * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Kaminski | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Gauna | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Byrd | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Schilling | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Brust * | 37 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| J. Gasser * | 36 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| T. Jackson * | 34 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | - |
| S. Dekker * | 28 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| F. Kaminsky * | 22 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| N. Hayes-Davis | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| B. Koenig | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Dukan | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter