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2014-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 11.4% 88.6% -
Bradley-Terry 38.4% 61.6% -
Margin 25.3% 74.7% +6.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% -
Efficiency 39.5% 60.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.8% 71.2% -
Log Adjusted 28.8% 71.2% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +10 (86-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Marble * 33 9-17 2-6 4-4 2 5 0 0 1 24 13 -
A. White * 24 5-8 0-1 0-1 2 1 1 0 2 10 4 -
M. Gesell * 22 2-5 1-2 2-2 0 2 1 0 4 7 1 -
M. Basabe * 18 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 5 5 -
A. Woodbury * 18 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 3 0 1 4 3 -
J. Oglesby 23 2-6 2-6 2-2 1 2 1 0 1 8 5 -
G. Olaseni 18 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Uthoff 15 0-6 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Z. McCabe 15 3-5 0-2 2-2 1 1 2 0 1 8 6 -
A. Clemmons 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 3 -
D. Stokes 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Jok 3 2-2 1-1 1-2 0 0 2 0 0 6 6 -
K. Meyer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Valentine * 35 4-5 1-2 4-6 6 9 1 0 2 13 22 -
B. Dawson * 30 4-7 0-0 0-0 7 2 5 3 2 8 16 -
A. Payne * 28 5-12 1-3 3-4 4 0 0 1 1 14 6 -
K. Appling * 25 4-7 2-3 2-4 3 3 1 0 2 12 10 -
G. Harris * 23 5-8 1-1 1-2 2 2 0 1 0 12 9 -
T. Trice II 26 4-5 3-4 6-6 1 3 1 0 5 17 12 -
M. Costello 9 0-0 0-0 4-4 3 1 0 1 0 4 9 -
K. Kaminski 8 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
A. Ellis III 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 0 1 -
R. Byrd 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Schilling 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Chapman 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
K. Wetzel 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Wollenman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Bohnhoff 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter