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Michigan State Spartans 78
@
Illinois Fighting Illini 62
2014-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 46.2% 53.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 61.1% 38.9% - ✓
Margin 52.5% 47.5% -0.5 ✓ (15.5 off)
Pythagorean 74.0% 26.0% - ✓
Efficiency 91.0% 9.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 87.7% 12.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 87.8% 12.2% - ✓

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -16 (62-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Appling * 35 5-12 1-3 4-6 5 4 1 0 3 15 10 -
D. Valentine * 34 6-9 2-3 1-2 11 4 0 0 1 15 20 -
G. Harris * 34 7-9 2-4 7-10 5 4 2 0 2 23 23 -
B. Dawson * 30 4-7 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 1 1 9 10 -
M. Costello * 25 4-5 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 6 2 8 12 -
T. Trice II 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
K. Kaminski 10 2-4 1-3 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
A. Ellis III 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
A. Gauna 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
G. Schilling 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Rice * 33 5-15 2-7 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 12 3 -
T. Abrams * 31 3-11 1-3 8-8 3 3 1 0 1 15 10 -
J. Ekey * 27 5-10 2-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 12 4 -
N. Egwu * 22 0-3 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Bertrand * 22 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 4 0 -
K. Nunn 29 2-7 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 5 2 -
M. Morgan 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
M. Hill 13 3-5 1-2 1-1 2 0 1 0 0 8 6 -
J. Tate 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 2 2 -

* = starter