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2013-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 70.5% 29.5% -
Bradley-Terry 39.0% 61.0% -
Margin 56.9% 43.1% -1.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 64.7% 35.3% -
Efficiency 77.2% 22.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.4% 15.6% -
Log Adjusted 84.5% 15.5% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns -14 (78-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Valentine 34 3-8 1-4 1-2 11 2 1 1 2 8 13 -
A. Payne 34 10-13 2-5 11-12 9 2 0 0 3 33 28 -
B. Dawson 33 5-10 0-0 1-4 10 2 1 0 2 11 12 -
G. Harris 29 4-8 1-3 10-11 1 5 1 1 2 19 17 -
K. Appling 28 2-11 0-6 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 4 -2 -
T. Trice II 21 4-6 3-4 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 13 8 -
G. Schilling 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 4 8 -
R. Byrd 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Ellis III 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Gauna 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Holland 32 2-8 1-3 4-5 3 1 0 0 0 9 5 -
C. Ridley 31 5-10 0-0 7-10 9 0 1 0 1 17 16 -
J. Holmes 27 3-6 0-2 5-6 6 0 2 0 2 11 11 -
I. Taylor 26 5-12 1-2 5-5 2 5 0 0 4 16 7 -
J. Felix 25 4-15 1-4 2-3 3 3 0 0 0 11 2 -
K. Yancy 23 2-4 1-1 1-3 3 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
C. Lammert 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 2 0 0 2 -
P. Ibeh 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 3 0 0 -
D. Croaker 8 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
M. Walker 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter