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2014-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 54.5% 45.5% -
Bradley-Terry 47.1% 52.9% -
Margin 48.5% 51.5% +0.3 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% -
Efficiency 64.2% 35.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.2% 46.8% -
Log Adjusted 53.2% 46.8% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Harris * 39 7-17 4-13 3-3 1 4 1 0 3 21 7 -
D. Valentine * 36 5-7 3-3 0-0 8 6 0 1 2 13 19 -
A. Payne * 31 4-9 0-2 4-10 11 1 0 0 1 12 14 -
K. Appling * 25 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 6 3 -
M. Costello * 10 2-2 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 2 5 3 -
T. Trice II 27 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 6 3 -
K. Kaminski 13 1-3 0-2 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
G. Schilling 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
R. Byrd 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Ellis III 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. LeVert * 39 7-15 3-5 6-8 3 3 1 0 0 23 15 -
G. Robinson III * 38 6-12 0-3 3-7 5 1 0 0 0 15 9 -
N. Stauskas * 37 9-13 3-5 4-6 3 5 0 0 2 25 18 -
D. Walton Jr. * 28 1-5 1-3 2-2 4 3 2 0 0 5 9 -
J. Morgan * 22 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
J. Horford 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
S. Albrecht 13 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 3 4 -
Z. Irvin 7 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter