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2014-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 79.6% 20.4% -
Bradley-Terry 47.4% 52.6% -
Margin 50.9% 49.1% -0.2 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -
Efficiency 54.5% 45.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.2% 34.8% -
Log Adjusted 65.2% 34.8% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -2 (69-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Harris * 41 3-9 0-4 3-4 6 4 0 1 1 9 10 -
K. Appling * 40 6-14 3-6 1-3 3 4 3 0 1 16 11 -
D. Valentine * 29 5-13 2-7 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 12 7 -
M. Costello * 28 3-4 0-0 5-6 12 2 1 2 1 11 23 -
K. Kaminski * 19 2-8 1-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 5 -2 -
T. Trice II 21 3-5 3-5 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 10 5 -
R. Byrd 18 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
G. Schilling 14 1-1 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 1 0 3 7 -
A. Ellis III 12 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Gauna 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. White * 37 1-4 0-1 8-8 7 2 0 0 0 10 15 -
D. Marble * 37 7-15 1-5 6-8 5 1 0 2 1 21 13 -
M. Basabe * 28 3-8 0-0 2-2 6 0 2 0 2 8 6 -
M. Gesell * 25 1-6 0-2 4-6 1 0 2 0 0 6 3 -
A. Woodbury * 18 1-1 0-0 7-12 4 0 0 0 2 9 10 -
J. Oglesby 24 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
G. Olaseni 16 1-2 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 2 0 2 7 -
J. Uthoff 15 2-7 0-1 0-2 4 0 0 1 0 4 2 -
Z. McCabe 14 1-2 1-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 4 2 -
A. Clemmons 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter