Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.4% | 24.6% | -6.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -14 (40-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Appling * | 39 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| G. Harris * | 35 | 5-13 | 0-6 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| D. Valentine * | 31 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| T. Trice II * | 16 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Costello * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Dawson | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | - |
| A. Gauna | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Kaminski | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| G. Schilling | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cobb * | 40 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Crawford * | 39 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| A. Olah * | 39 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Lumpkin * | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| K. Abrahamson * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Demps | 31 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| N. Taphorn | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N. Cerina | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter