Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.8% | 11.2% | -11.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.7% | 7.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -14 (40-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Appling * | 39 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 35 | 5-13 | 0-6 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 31 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Travis Trice * | 16 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Matt Costello * | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Branden Dawson | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kenny Kaminski | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JerShon Cobb * | 40 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Drew Crawford * | 39 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Alex Olah * | 39 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Sanjay Lumpkin * | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Kale Abrahamson * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tre Demps | 31 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Nathan Taphorn | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Nikola Cerina | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter