Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.3% | 64.7% | +3.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -15 (79-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Harris * | 32 | 7-11 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 21 | - |
| D. Valentine * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| T. Trice II * | 24 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| A. Payne * | 22 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| M. Costello * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Appling | 25 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 11 | - |
| K. Kaminski | 18 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| R. Byrd | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| G. Schilling | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Gauna | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| K. Wetzel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Chapman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Wollenman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Bohnhoff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Johnson * | 31 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| A. Hammons * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Simpson * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| T. Johnson * | 16 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| S. Carter * | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Stephens | 31 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| R. Davis | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| B. Scott | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Smotherman | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| E. Peck | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Carroll | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter