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Michigan State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Michigan State Spartans, Michigan State
Program History
Coach: Tom Izzo

2013 Team Stats (30 games)

69.1
PPG
58.9
Opp
+10.2
Margin
46.6%
FG%
34.3%
3P%
71.6%
FT%
37.7
RPG
13.7
APG
13.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.9
Adj PPG
53.7
Adj Opp PPG
#11
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1421 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1330 (#10) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More → 1137 (#21) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → +17.4 (#10) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → +18.1 (#8) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.813 (#34) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +28.1 More → 0.963 (#11) AdjNet +28.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +28.5 More → 0.964 (#11) AdjNet +28.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 53.7 More → 0.814 (#11) AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 53.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 55.1 More → 0.751 (#10) AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 55.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.874 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.866 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 94 | GP 35 More → 1310 (#16) RD 94 | GP 35

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ UConn Huskies L 62 - 66
2012-11-13 @ Kansas Jayhawks W 67 - 64
2012-11-18 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 69 - 41
2012-11-20 vs Boise State Broncos W 74 - 70
2012-11-23 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 70 - 52
2012-11-25 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 63 - 60
2012-11-28 @ Miami Hurricanes L 59 - 67
2012-12-01 vs Nicholls Colonels W 84 - 39
2012-12-05 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 76 - 44
2012-12-08 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 73 - 61
2012-12-15 vs Tuskegee Golden Tigers W 92 - 56
2012-12-18 @ Bowling Green Falcons W 64 - 53
2012-12-22 vs Texas Longhorns W 67 - 56
2012-12-31 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 63 - 76
2013-01-05 vs Purdue Boilermakers W 84 - 61
2013-01-10 @ Iowa Hawkeyes W 62 - 59
2013-01-13 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers W 66 - 56
2013-01-16 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 81 - 72
2013-01-19 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 59 - 56
2013-01-22 @ Wisconsin Badgers W 49 - 47
2013-01-27 @ Indiana Hoosiers L 70 - 75
2013-01-31 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 80 - 75
2013-02-06 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers W 61 - 50
2013-02-09 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 78 - 65
2013-02-12 vs Michigan Wolverines W 75 - 52
2013-02-16 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers W 73 - 64
2013-02-19 vs Indiana Hoosiers L 68 - 72
2013-02-24 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 60 - 68
2013-03-03 @ Michigan Wolverines L 57 - 58
2013-03-07 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 58 - 43
2013-03-10 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 71 - 61
2013-03-15 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 59 - 56
2013-03-16 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 58 - 61
2013-03-21 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 65 - 54
2013-03-23 vs Memphis Tigers W 70 - 48
2013-03-29 @ Duke Blue Devils L 61 - 71

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Keith Appling Keith Appling G 36 33.6 13.4 3.4 3.3 1.3 0.6 2.3 8.9 10.7 233 33 7.1 9.1 40.9 28.2 73.8 1.33 61.3 45.8
Gary Harris Gary Harris G 34 29.7 12.9 2.5 1.4 1.3 0.2 1.5 8.4 8.4 253 31 8.2 11.9 46.5 42.9 76.1 4.04 67.6 57.0
Adreian Payne Adreian Payne C 36 25.6 10.5 7.6 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.8 6.5 12.6 232 33 7.0 11.5 54.5 38.5 83.7 4.23 68.1 57.7
Derrick Nix Derrick Nix F 36 27.6 9.9 6.6 1.6 1.1 0.1 1.5 6.4 11.4 197 33 6.0 9.3 51.9 0 70.0 2.58 63.1 51.9
Branden Dawson Branden Dawson F 36 26.9 8.9 5.9 1.3 1.6 0.9 2.0 6.3 10.3 162 33 4.9 8.0 53.3 0.0 53.4 0.18 61.9 53.3
Denzel Valentine Denzel Valentine G 36 20.8 5.0 4.1 2.4 0.8 0.3 2.0 3.9 6.8 173 33 5.2 11.0 45.3 29.6 67.6 2.69 58.0 51.1
Travis Trice Travis Trice G 27 18.6 4.8 1.6 1.9 0.9 0.0 1.3 4.2 3.7 116 24 4.8 12.0 32.5 39.1 75.0 1.15 51.8 43.4
Brandan Kearney Brandan Kearney G 13 16.9 2.3 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 1.1 2.4 2.5 94 11 8.5 20.9 35.5 23.1 55.6 1.73 42.9 40.3
Russell Byrd Russell Byrd G 27 7.5 1.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.5 1.8 0.5 -9 23 -0.4 -2.1 28.6 17.9 50.0 -6.01 38.4 35.7
Matt Costello Matt Costello F 30 6.1 1.5 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 1.0 2.3 35 28 1.2 8.5 48.4 0 82.4 0.23 57.2 48.4
Alex Gauna Alex Gauna F 35 6.1 1.2 1.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.3 42 31 1.4 9.0 51.6 0 50.0 0.93 63.9 51.6
Trevor Bohnhoff Trevor Bohnhoff F 4 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 - - - - 0 0 50.0 -1.38 56.8 0
Dan Chapman Dan Chapman G 11 0.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 -9 10 -0.9 -36.2 0.0 0.0 0 -1.63 0.0 0.0
Keenan Wetzel Keenan Wetzel G 10 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 -1 9 -0.1 -6.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.63 0.0 0.0
Bella Sibedwo Bella Sibedwo G 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 -2.07 0.0 0.0
Emmett Dacey Emmett Dacey F 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -2.07 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG