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Michigan State Spartans 49
@
Wisconsin Badgers 47
2013-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 62.4% 37.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 59.5% 40.5% - ✓
Margin 46.2% 53.8% +0.8 ✗ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% - ✗
Efficiency 58.3% 41.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 52.9% 47.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 53.8% 46.2% - ✓

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers -2 (47-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Appling * 39 6-17 3-8 4-4 6 2 2 0 1 19 11 -
B. Dawson * 33 7-14 0-0 4-6 13 0 0 1 2 18 16 -
A. Payne * 33 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 3 3 1 2 2 4 -
G. Harris * 32 2-3 1-1 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 6 6 -
D. Nix * 26 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 2 4 -
T. Trice II 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
D. Valentine 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 -
M. Costello 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Gauna 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Byrd 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Berggren * 36 3-10 1-5 2-8 9 3 0 1 1 9 11 -
B. Brust * 35 3-7 2-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 8 5 -
M. Bruesewitz * 35 4-10 2-6 0-0 7 1 2 0 1 10 9 -
R. Evans * 34 2-12 1-2 1-2 11 0 1 1 3 6 4 -
T. Jackson * 28 2-9 0-3 3-4 2 3 1 0 2 7 2 -
G. Marshall 17 1-4 1-3 1-4 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
S. Dekker 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 3 1 -
E. Anderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter