Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Longhorns | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.8% | 81.2% | +8.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +11 (67-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Felix * | 39 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Lewis * | 36 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| S. Mac * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| J. Holmes * | 19 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Ridley * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Lammert | 26 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| I. Papapetrou | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| P. Ibeh | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Holland | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Appling * | 39 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| D. Nix * | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 31 | - |
| G. Harris * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | - |
| B. Dawson * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| D. Valentine * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| T. Trice II | 25 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Payne | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 9 | - |
| B. Kearney | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Gauna | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Byrd | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Costello | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter