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2013-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 47.6% 52.4% +0.1 โœ— (3.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 63.7% 36.3% - โœ“
Margin 56.6% 43.4% -1.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 70.9% 29.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 71.3% 28.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.0% 47.0% - โœ“

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -3 (59-62). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keith Appling * 37 3-13 0-2 6-6 6 4 1 0 1 12 9 -
Gary Harris * 34 4-10 3-5 3-3 5 1 3 1 1 14 13 -
Branden Dawson * 32 7-12 0-0 3-4 4 3 3 1 1 17 15 -
Denzel Valentine * 21 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 4 2 0 5 0 2 -
Derrick Nix * 19 3-6 0-0 1-4 7 0 1 0 2 7 7 -
Travis Trice II 25 1-5 0-2 0-3 0 1 1 0 2 2 -3 -
Adreian Payne 23 5-7 0-0 0-1 6 0 1 1 0 10 11 -
Alex Gauna 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Russell Byrd 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron White * 34 4-6 0-0 3-6 6 2 1 1 3 11 12 -
Eric May * 32 2-6 1-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
Mike Gesell * 30 3-6 0-1 0-0 1 5 1 1 4 6 4 -
Anthony Clemmons * 22 1-9 0-4 2-4 2 6 1 1 4 4 1 -
Adam Woodbury * 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 2 -2 -
Zach McCabe 24 6-9 3-6 0-0 7 2 0 0 3 15 12 -
Melsahn Basabe 17 5-5 0-0 4-5 3 0 2 0 0 14 14 -
Patrick Ingram 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Josh Oglesby 11 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Gabriel Olaseni 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter