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2013-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 81.3% 18.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.8% 53.2% -
Margin 50.1% 49.9% -0.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 58.9% 41.1% -
Efficiency 94.4% 5.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.5% 26.5% -
Log Adjusted 74.4% 25.6% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -3 (59-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Appling * 37 3-13 0-2 6-6 6 4 1 0 1 12 9 -
G. Harris * 34 4-10 3-5 3-3 5 1 3 1 1 14 13 -
B. Dawson * 32 7-12 0-0 3-4 4 3 3 1 1 17 15 -
D. Valentine * 21 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 4 2 0 5 0 2 -
D. Nix * 19 3-6 0-0 1-4 7 0 1 0 2 7 7 -
T. Trice II 25 1-5 0-2 0-3 0 1 1 0 2 2 -3 -
A. Payne 23 5-7 0-0 0-1 6 0 1 1 0 10 11 -
A. Gauna 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Byrd 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. White * 34 4-6 0-0 3-6 6 2 1 1 3 11 12 -
E. May * 32 2-6 1-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
M. Gesell * 30 3-6 0-1 0-0 1 5 1 1 4 6 4 -
A. Clemmons * 22 1-9 0-4 2-4 2 6 1 1 4 4 1 -
A. Woodbury * 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 2 -2 -
Z. McCabe 24 6-9 3-6 0-0 7 2 0 0 3 15 12 -
M. Basabe 17 5-5 0-0 4-5 3 0 2 0 0 14 14 -
P. Ingram 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Oglesby 11 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Olaseni 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter