Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Ohio State Buckeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.4% | 49.6% | -0.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +8 (68-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Harris * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| K. Appling * | 34 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| A. Payne * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| D. Nix * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| B. Dawson * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Valentine | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Trice II | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Costello | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Gauna | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Craft * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 36 | 4-16 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| S. Thompson * | 30 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| L. Smith Jr. * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Williams * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Scott | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Ravenel | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| L. Ross | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter