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2013-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 23.2% 76.8% -
Bradley-Terry 27.6% 72.4% -
Margin 28.1% 71.9% +5.2 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -
Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.1% 58.9% -
Log Adjusted 40.2% 59.8% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +15 (58-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Brust * 36 2-7 2-6 4-4 4 1 1 0 3 10 6 -
T. Jackson * 30 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 3 0 0 -
J. Berggren * 29 2-9 0-4 2-4 7 1 0 2 4 6 3 -
M. Bruesewitz * 28 3-8 1-4 0-0 7 1 2 0 3 7 6 -
R. Evans * 24 4-10 0-0 1-2 11 1 0 1 0 9 12 -
S. Dekker 23 3-7 1-3 2-5 5 1 0 0 2 9 6 -
G. Marshall 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
F. Kaminsky 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Z. Bohannon 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. Anderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Showalter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Harris * 30 5-14 1-4 0-0 1 2 4 0 2 11 2 -
A. Payne * 30 4-12 0-2 1-1 11 1 1 1 2 9 9 -
K. Appling * 29 7-13 1-7 4-5 5 1 1 0 0 19 13 -
D. Nix * 26 2-10 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 5 0 -
B. Dawson * 19 1-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
D. Valentine 19 1-3 0-0 1-1 4 3 0 0 2 3 5 -
T. Trice II 19 2-3 1-1 0-0 5 4 6 0 2 5 15 -
M. Costello 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 2 5 -
A. Gauna 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
R. Byrd 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Bohnhoff 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
E. Dacey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Chapman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Wetzel 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Sibedwo 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter