Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.3% | 90.7% | +12.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +10 (71-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Montgomery III | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Hearn * | 37 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. Marcotullio * | 35 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| K. Abrahamson * | 34 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| D. Sobolewski * | 34 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Olah * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| T. Demps | 21 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | - |
| M. Turner | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Appling * | 38 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| G. Harris * | 37 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| D. Nix * | 33 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| A. Payne * | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| B. Dawson * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Trice II | 23 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Valentine | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Costello | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Gauna | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Byrd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter