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2013-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 76.2% 23.8% -
Bradley-Terry 51.8% 48.2% -
Margin 54.1% 45.9% -0.9 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% -
Efficiency 18.5% 81.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.2% 67.8% -
Log Adjusted 32.8% 67.2% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Costello 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Dawson * 34 6-10 0-0 0-0 8 2 4 0 3 12 13 -
A. Payne * 33 7-10 3-4 1-2 9 0 1 1 3 18 16 -
G. Harris * 33 6-13 5-10 4-4 2 2 2 0 0 21 14 -
D. Nix * 31 4-8 0-0 0-0 5 6 2 0 2 8 11 -
K. Appling * 19 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 3 -3 -
T. Trice II 30 3-12 2-5 0-0 2 5 1 0 5 8 -1 -
D. Valentine 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
A. Gauna 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Zeller * 33 2-7 0-0 5-6 7 1 0 1 2 9 9 -
C. Watford * 31 5-9 1-3 1-2 6 0 0 0 3 12 6 -
Y. Ferrell * 31 4-9 1-5 2-2 1 3 1 0 3 11 4 -
J. Hulls * 31 3-8 3-8 1-2 1 4 0 0 2 10 5 -
V. Oladipo * 30 8-12 1-2 4-6 7 1 6 3 3 21 23 -
W. Sheehey 23 3-4 2-2 0-2 3 0 1 0 2 8 6 -
H. Mosquera-Perea 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Abell 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
M. Creek 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Hollowell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter