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2013-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 42.4% 57.6% +1.4 โœ“ (3.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% - โœ“
Margin 16.3% 83.7% +9.0 โœ“ (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.0% 69.0% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +5 (75-70). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Branden Dawson * 34 6-10 0-0 0-0 8 2 4 0 3 12 13 -
Adreian Payne * 33 7-10 3-4 1-2 9 0 1 1 3 18 16 -
Gary Harris * 33 6-13 5-10 4-4 2 2 2 0 0 21 14 -
Derrick Nix * 31 4-8 0-0 0-0 5 6 2 0 2 8 11 -
Keith Appling * 19 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 3 -3 -
Travis Trice II 30 3-12 2-5 0-0 2 5 1 0 5 8 -1 -
Denzel Valentine 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
Alex Gauna 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Matt Costello 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cody Zeller * 33 2-7 0-0 5-6 7 1 0 1 2 9 9 -
Christian Watford * 31 5-9 1-3 1-2 6 0 0 0 3 12 6 -
Yogi Ferrell * 31 4-9 1-5 2-2 1 3 1 0 3 11 4 -
Jordan Hulls * 31 3-8 3-8 1-2 1 4 0 0 2 10 5 -
Victor Oladipo * 30 8-12 1-2 4-6 7 1 6 3 3 21 23 -
Will Sheehey 23 3-4 2-2 0-2 3 0 1 0 2 8 6 -
Hanner Mosquera-Perea 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Remy Abell 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Maurice Creek 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Jeremy Hollowell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter