Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.4% | 61.6% | +2.6 | ✗ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -13 (65-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bohnhoff | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Chapman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Wetzel | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Nix * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| B. Dawson * | 31 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| K. Appling * | 27 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| A. Payne * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| G. Harris * | 24 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Valentine | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. Byrd | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Costello | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Gauna | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Johnson * | 38 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| A. Hammons * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| T. Johnson * | 33 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 10 | - |
| D. Hale * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D.J. Byrd * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| R. Davis | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Johnson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| S. Marcius | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Carroll | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Lawson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter