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2012-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 5.9% 94.1% -
Bradley-Terry 21.9% 78.1% -
Margin 9.2% 90.8% +12.6 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 20.9% 79.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.9% 78.1% -
Log Adjusted 20.6% 79.4% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +4 (74-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Drmic * 39 2-7 0-2 2-3 4 3 0 0 5 6 1 -
J. Elorriaga * 31 2-5 2-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 6 6 -
D. Marks * 29 6-16 1-2 11-12 3 4 2 0 2 24 15 -
R. Watkins * 20 4-5 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 1 1 12 11 -
I. Hadziomerovic * 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
M. Thompson 34 5-11 2-4 2-2 5 3 2 0 2 14 11 -
K. Buckner 14 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 2 0 1 6 5 -
T. Bropleh 14 0-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -
D. Hamilton 5 0-0 0-0 1-4 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Appling * 40 8-14 2-5 4-6 5 7 3 0 4 22 19 -
B. Dawson * 33 4-5 0-0 2-5 5 3 3 1 1 10 16 -
D. Valentine * 29 4-9 2-6 2-3 4 2 2 0 3 12 8 -
D. Nix * 27 3-3 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 0 0 9 11 -
G. Harris * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Kearney 27 1-3 1-3 4-4 2 0 1 0 2 7 5 -
R. Byrd 23 1-5 1-5 1-3 2 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
A. Payne 16 5-6 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 3 10 8 -
A. Gauna 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Costello 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter