Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.4% | 25.6% | -5.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -9 (72-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Appling * | 34 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| G. Harris * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Nix * | 31 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| D. Valentine * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Gauna * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| T. Trice II | 26 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| A. Payne | 17 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 7-10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| B. Dawson | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| R. Byrd | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Costello | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Newbill * | 37 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 11-15 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 21 | - |
| J. Marshall * | 34 | 10-18 | 3-7 | 6-8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 21 | - |
| B. Taylor * | 28 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Travis * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Borovnjak * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| N. Colella | 30 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Graham | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| P. Ackerman | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Montminy | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter