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2012-11-13

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Kansas Jayhawks Spread Result
Elo 99.3% 0.7% -
Bradley-Terry 97.1% 2.9% -
Margin 37.6% 62.4% +2.8 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 39.1% 60.9% -
Efficiency 38.1% 61.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.8% 86.2% -
Log Adjusted 14.4% 85.6% -

Actual: Kansas Jayhawks -3 (64-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Appling * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 3 0 2 19 25 -
G. Harris * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 18 16 -
B. Dawson * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 3 0 5 12 16 -
D. Nix * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 2 8 14 -
A. Payne * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 4 0 4 16 -
D. Valentine 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 2 1 0 7 -
A. Gauna 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
B. Kearney 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
R. Byrd 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Releford * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 4 1 2 8 16 -
E. Johnson * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 3 0 4 16 21 -
B. McLemore * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 1 3 14 19 -
J. Withey * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 2 4 8 14 -
P. Ellis * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 6 -
J. Traylor 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 3 1 6 14 -
N. Tharpe 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
J. Wesley 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
K. Young 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter